Polymarket Trader

mrmo00n

0xdae89413f3f20fa5a63ba229d984e25a08988c95

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.11K
Realized PnL: $893.18
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $105.04
Potential payout: $913.42
Potential profit: $808.37
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $2.02

No position

Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $342
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $58
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $2

No position

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66.8%
Current value: $142.88
Potential payout: $213.9
Potential profit: $71.01
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $199.59
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $0.4
User PnL: $47.6

Yes position

Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $142.98
Potential payout: $199.97
Potential profit: $56.99
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $84.99

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.67
Potential profit: $116.67
User PnL: -$7

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $60.4
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $19.6
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $38

No position

Will Sui reach $3.00 before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $75.83
Potential payout: $78.58
Potential profit: $2.75
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $12.97

No position

Will edgeX reach $3.00 before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $33.44
Potential payout: $38
Potential profit: $4.56
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $3.04

No position

Will Pump.fun reach $0.0050 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $5.9
Potential profit: $0.91
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84

No position

Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.72

No position

Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.49

No position

Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.46

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.98

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.94

No position

Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.33

No position

Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.6

Yes position

Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.22

No position

Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.04

No position

Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.63

Yes position

Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.49

No position

Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.59

No position

Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.71

No position

Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $29.88

No position

Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 74.1%
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $24.12

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of January?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.9

No position

Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $22.63

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.37

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.38

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.16

Yes position

Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-16?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.33

No position

Will William Pacho score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $16.29

No position

StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $15.92

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?

No 67.3% 213.9 shares
GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Yes 11.3% 913.42 shares
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17% 158.81 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 61% 8.2 shares
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

Over 37% 1,000 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.4% 2,500 shares
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 34% 58.82 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 35.9% 83.61 shares
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 17.9% 167.28 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 63.1% 129.92 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 77% 129.93 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 6% 116.67 shares