No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.2K
- Potential profit
- $15.2K
- User PnL
- -$133.11
Polymarket Trader
50DRE
0xdaf3fd565128b8161f87f037ad9b0be2c16c57f7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $103.41
- Realized PnL
- $1.98K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33K
- Potential profit
- $8.33K
- User PnL
- -$342.84
Yes position
Will Russia capture Sumy by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.96K
- Potential profit
- $2.96K
- User PnL
- -$105
Yes position
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.92K
- Potential profit
- $2.92K
- User PnL
- -$329.99
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.41K
- Potential profit
- $2.41K
- User PnL
- -$325.13
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by November 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $2.08K
- User PnL
- -$347.99
Yes position
Will Russia capture Siversk by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- User PnL
- -$392.99
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$48.6
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- User PnL
- -$148.12
Yes position
Will Russia enter Huliaipole by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$279
No position
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $763.16
- Potential profit
- $763.16
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $729.6
- Potential profit
- $729.6
- User PnL
- -$33.35
Yes position
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $683.51
- Potential profit
- $682.49
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.26
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $673.43
- Potential profit
- $673.43
- User PnL
- -$189
Yes position
Will Russia capture Velykomykhailivka by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $473.8
- Potential profit
- $473.8
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $461.19
- Potential profit
- $461.19
- User PnL
- -$77.93
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $436.11
- Potential profit
- $436.11
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $412.7
- Potential profit
- $412.7
- User PnL
- -$121
Yes position
Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $9.33
- Potential payout
- $352.07
- Potential profit
- $342.74
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will UK strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $336.86
- Potential profit
- $336.86
- User PnL
- -$23.24
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $305.02
- Potential profit
- $305.02
- User PnL
- -$42
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $298.2
- Potential profit
- $298.2
- User PnL
- -$30.47
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.2%
- Current value
- $93.05
- Potential payout
- $264.73
- Potential profit
- $171.68
- Multiplier
- 2.84x
- User PnL
- $4.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $402.02
Yes position
Will Russia enter Kostyantynivka by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.35
Yes position
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $303.52
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $277.65
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.1
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $72.34
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.56
Yes position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.16
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51.57
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.93
Yes position
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.91
Yes position
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.41
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.14
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.25
No position
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by April 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.93
Yes position
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.02
No position
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.7
Yes position
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by October 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.56
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.79
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.4
Yes position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes 48% 10.42 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 4.5% 110.57 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?Yes 24% 125 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 35% 114.14 shares
- Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 2.8% 352.07 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 34.8% 25 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?Yes 3.8% 35 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?Yes 3.3% 40.01 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 44% 68.18 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 32.4% 10.6 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 48% 125 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 51.6% 19.38 shares