Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.51K
- Potential profit
- $12.51K
- User PnL
- -$12.51
Polymarket Trader
eth55
0xdb014dd7e3451d61f4f4a17aec9a3e1e0d52e156
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $930
- Realized PnL
- $9.92K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Ranger FDV above $30M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
No airdrop in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $930
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $5.07K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$2.04K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- User PnL
- -$1.32K
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$105
Yes position
Will GRVT launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.47
- Potential profit
- $199.47
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.55K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $900
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $428.4
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $343.15
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.33
No position
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.92
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.2
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.61
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.26
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.7
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.1
No position
Will Consensys IPO by March 31 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.72
No position
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.93
No position
Owlto FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.31
Yes position
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.09
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
USA position
Olympic Men’s Basketball Final: USA vs. France
Ends Aug 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
USA position
Olympic Basketball: USA vs. Serbia
Ends Aug 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 25% 2,500 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 6.4% 40.29 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 21.9% 40.3 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 48% 20.3 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 63.8% 20.3 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 99.6% 2,200 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 92% 2,200 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes 8.9% 379.02 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes 9% 175.92 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes 9% 549.99 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes 9.1% 60 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes 9.1% 25.55 shares