Polymarket Trader

Ampolo42

0xdb1511ff7a80b9e77d2c74919910ed7d4bff3390

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $21.56
Realized PnL: $51.21
Win rate: 92.3%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $498.75
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.54
Potential profit: $178.54
User PnL: -$31.78

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $165.87
Potential profit: $165.87
User PnL: -$69.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.24
Potential payout: $145.57
Potential profit: $144.33
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $2.56
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $108.56
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $33.98
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Exact Score: Germany 2 - 2 Paraguay?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $2.98
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $11.31
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: $1.98

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $9.94
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $1.69
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Paraguay?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.47
Potential profit: $8.47
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.94
Potential profit: $6.94
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $1.36
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $4.19
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $2.78
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.24

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.61

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.05

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.43

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.39

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

England position

England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Over position

England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 0.5

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 86% 11.63 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

62.9% 1.56 shares
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals

Yes 36% 2.78 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 69.5% 14.39 shares
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 145.57 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 2.8% 35.71 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 0.9% 111.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 18% 5.56 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 7% 14.29 shares
England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 0.5

Over 62% 1.61 shares