Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $181.64
- Potential payout
- $4.19K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- $59.72
Polymarket Trader
SummerWind
0xdb22a16007d4f73fe8ee5e205d05efb1ac237ef9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.74K
- Realized PnL
- $5.64K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $740.2
- Potential profit
- $740.2
- User PnL
- -$221.65
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $595.55
- Potential payout
- $631.55
- Potential profit
- $36
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $42.15
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $562.91
- Potential payout
- $622
- Potential profit
- $59.09
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $46.43
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $458.41
- Potential payout
- $500.99
- Potential profit
- $42.58
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $47.04
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $32.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $467.25
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- $13.25
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.3%
- Current value
- $401.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $98.5
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $51.5
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $466.74
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $33.25
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $63.75
No position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $397.9
- Potential payout
- $460
- Potential profit
- $62.1
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $89.91
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $371.38
- Potential payout
- $419.64
- Potential profit
- $48.26
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $84.46
No position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $147.93
- Potential payout
- $379.8
- Potential profit
- $231.87
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- $118.15
No position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $73.96
- Potential payout
- $328.7
- Potential profit
- $254.74
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$39.31
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $282.45
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $17.55
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $12.45
No position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $200.89
- Potential payout
- $299.84
- Potential profit
- $98.95
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $22.98
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$62
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $81
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $119
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.3%
- Current value
- $124.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $75.5
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $30.5
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $67
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $133
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14.1%
- Current value
- $28.18
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $171.82
- Multiplier
- 7.10x
- User PnL
- -$6.82
Yes position
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $21
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $179
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $180
- User PnL
- -$102.8
Yes position
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $173.56
- Potential profit
- $173.56
- User PnL
- -$2.6
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $149.78
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- User PnL
- $29.78
No position
X banned in any European country by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $92.45
- Potential payout
- $117.03
- Potential profit
- $24.58
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $4.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Fact Check: Luigi Mangione motivated by denied claims?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
No position
Ukraine election called in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $625.1
Up position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $433.99
Yes position
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160
No position
TikTok sale announced before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.9
No position
TikTok sale announced before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.38
No position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.63
No position
Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.64
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.74
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.3
No position
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $96.97
No position
Fact Check: Is Luigi Mangione gay?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.68
Yes position
Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $94.42
No position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.1
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $81.2
No position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
Yes position
Will "Mufasa: The Lion King" Rotten Tomatoes score be below 60?
Ends Dec 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.8
No position
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68
Yes position
No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Jan 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.26
No position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Australia before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62
No position
Polish snap election called in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.31
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 27% 111 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 90.3% 100 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 74% 100 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?No 67% 100 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 79% 400 shares
- Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 39% 200 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 92.2% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 31% 200 shares
- Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?Yes 20% 32.36 shares
- X banned in any European country by December 31?No 75% 60 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 3.2% 2,185.29 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No 18% 104.33 shares