No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.18K
- Potential profit
- $12.18K
- User PnL
- -$4.17K
Polymarket Trader
0xDB324cE8B15F48fa482CD6881Eceeb129606Bbcc-1760024306934
0xdb324ce8b15f48fa482cd6881eceeb129606bbcc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $142.02
- Realized PnL
- $1.28K
- Win rate
- 55%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.27K
- Potential profit
- $10.27K
- User PnL
- -$856.14
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67K
- Potential profit
- $6.67K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $140.33
- Potential payout
- $5.97K
- Potential profit
- $5.83K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$159.66
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.28K
- Potential profit
- $4.28K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.69
- Potential payout
- $3.39K
- Potential profit
- $3.38K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$68.87
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- User PnL
- -$690
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $576.92
- Potential profit
- $576.92
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $284.73
- Potential profit
- $284.73
- User PnL
- -$200
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $921.39
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $775.44
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $321.5
No position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.26
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.94
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.54
Yes position
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7AM ET
Ends Oct 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8AM ET
Ends Oct 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1PM ET
Ends Oct 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 10PM ET
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
Down position
XRP Up or Down - October 11, 2AM ET
Ends Oct 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Up position
XRP Up or Down - October 11, 1AM ET
Ends Oct 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Solana Up or Down - October 11, 1AM ET
Ends Oct 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3AM ET
Ends Oct 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$35.67
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$57.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12PM ET
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$162.78
Yes position
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$376.62
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$400
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?No 14% 2,142.86 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No 27.9% 1,074.7 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No 68% 279.41 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No 68% 294.24 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?No 40.9% 733.28 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?No 39% 1,282.05 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?No 38.4% 1,300.97 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?No 38% 1,315.79 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?No 36.1% 1,384.39 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?No 40% 2,500 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?No 38.7% 258.38 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?No 38% 526.32 shares