Polymarket Trader

erbeoioe

0xdb3325c0c690d9a9c3ccf01f4fac2f04f7ef9564

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $33.27
Realized PnL: $26.92
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.53
Potential profit: $25.53
User PnL: -$24

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $10.82
Potential payout: $12.03
Potential profit: $1.21
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.81
Potential payout: $10.81
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.81

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.36
Potential profit: $10.36
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.31
Potential profit: $10.31
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.35
Potential profit: $8.35
User PnL: -$4.93

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.38
Potential payout: $6.38
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.24
Potential profit: $6.24
User PnL: -$5.99

No position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.26
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.26

No position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.53

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81

No position

Iran strike on Qatar by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

No position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

No position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 97.9% 10.21 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 97.9% 10.21 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

No 96% 10.42 shares
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?

No 93.9% 10.65 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

No 92.5% 10.81 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

No 95% 10.53 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

No 93.8% 10.66 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 96.5% 10.36 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 80.8% 7.43 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 83.1% 12.03 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

No 96.2% 6.24 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

No 97.8% 7.16 shares