Polymarket Trader

armytime

0xdb394aa97a061aac9eceff9f0c204d361bb39d19

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $283.84
Realized PnL: $2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $128.14
Potential payout: $151.73
Potential profit: $23.59
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$9.03

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 81.3%
Current value: $60.6
Potential payout: $74.59
Potential profit: $13.99
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$8.02

Yes position

Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $70.07
Potential payout: $74.07
Potential profit: $4
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$3.93

No position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $25.03
Potential payout: $25.53
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.57

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9PM ET

Ends Aug 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $295.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3AM ET

Ends Aug 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.25

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 5AM ET

Ends Aug 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.75

Down position

XRP Up or Down - August 7, 3AM ET

Ends Aug 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10AM ET

Ends Aug 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9AM ET

Ends Aug 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.46

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - August 7, 9AM ET

Ends Aug 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10PM ET

Ends Aug 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.18

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on August 8 at 5PM ET?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3AM ET

Ends Aug 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.42

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 9AM ET

Ends Aug 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 8AM ET

Ends Aug 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.45

Up position

XRP Up or Down - August 2, 9PM ET

Ends Aug 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Up position

XRP Up or Down - August 3, 6AM ET

Ends Aug 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 11AM ET

Ends Aug 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.33

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 7AM ET

Ends Aug 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 6AM ET

Ends Aug 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 11AM ET

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7AM ET

Ends Aug 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9PM ET

Ends Aug 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8AM ET

Ends Aug 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 9AM ET

Ends Aug 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8AM ET

Ends Aug 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $115K on August 9 at 5PM ET?

Ends Aug 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.91

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?

Yes 99.9% 74.07 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 92% 74.59 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 93.3% 73.56 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 90.4% 151.73 shares
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

No 95.8% 25.53 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

No 99.8% 150.52 shares
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?

Yes 95% 50.43 shares
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?

Yes 95% 61.36 shares
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?

Yes 95% 15.8 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

No 96% 149 shares
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?

No 99.9% 283.76 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

No 99% 133 shares