Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $3.59
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $58.91
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $0.59
Polymarket Trader
0xDb3c6ee33836E7CBeE7b700BF5c49Ee350188E0b-1779569817758
0xdb3c6ee33836e7cbee7b700bf5c49ee350188e0b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $96.02
- Realized PnL
- $324.12
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $3.51
- Potential payout
- $47.06
- Potential profit
- $43.55
- Multiplier
- 13.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $28.91
- Potential payout
- $47
- Potential profit
- $18.1
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$1.63
Yes position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.6%
- Current value
- $24.83
- Potential payout
- $43.88
- Potential profit
- $19.05
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $5.38
Yes position
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $17.47
- Potential payout
- $35.66
- Potential profit
- $18.19
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- -$7.13
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 13.6%
- Current value
- $4.47
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $28.53
- Multiplier
- 7.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $1.69
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $30.56
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- User PnL
- -$1
N
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $11.55
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $18.45
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Yes position
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.61
- Potential profit
- $13.61
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.33
- Potential profit
- $13.33
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $12.82
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.7
- Potential profit
- $12.7
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.51
- Potential profit
- $12.51
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.18
- Potential profit
- $12.18
- User PnL
- -$2
Over position
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.9
- Potential profit
- $11.9
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $11.36
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.42
- Potential profit
- $10.42
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.27
- Potential profit
- $10.27
- User PnL
- -$5
Under position
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.2
- Potential profit
- $10.2
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.01
- Potential profit
- $10.01
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.26
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.93
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.72
Yes position
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.92
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- $12.9
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $11.36
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.32
Yes position
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.4
Yes position
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Over 4.5 position
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
Yes position
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.67
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.97
Y
Yes position
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.91
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.89
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes 62% 7 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?No 13% 20 shares
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?Yes 70% 5 shares
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?Yes 70% 5 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?No 35% 20 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 51% 30 shares
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?Yes 48% 9.73 shares
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?Yes 47.9% 14.15 shares
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?Yes 40% 20 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.3% 110.69 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?Yes 95.6% 20 shares
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 3.5Over 15% 29.99 shares