Yes position
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $5.36
- Potential payout
- $75.67
- Potential profit
- $70.3
- Multiplier
- 14.10x
- User PnL
- -$1.64
Polymarket Trader
Moses100
0xdb4920d80c5a8f389ba00fed4e59f1163a531cf0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $72.45
- Realized PnL
- $242.22
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $24.12
- Potential payout
- $33.97
- Potential profit
- $9.85
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $4.12
Yes position
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Current value
- $7.87
- Potential payout
- $32.93
- Potential profit
- $25.06
- Multiplier
- 4.18x
- User PnL
- $4.87
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $7.09
- Potential payout
- $17.95
- Potential profit
- $10.86
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.82
- Potential profit
- $13.82
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $5.02
- Potential payout
- $12.55
- Potential profit
- $7.53
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
No position
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $7.51
- Potential payout
- $10.29
- Potential profit
- $2.78
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $9.17
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $7.61
- Potential payout
- $8.14
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $7.19
- Potential payout
- $7.33
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.77
- Potential profit
- $3.77
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.23
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.67
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.63
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.17
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.36
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.21
No position
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.03
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.03
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.15
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.21
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.32
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01
No position
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.98
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $2.33
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: November
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
No position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.61
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will Disney say "Acquisition" during earnings call?
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9.3% 75.67 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes 60% 16.67 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 4.5% 31.93 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes 12% 22.35 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 87% 10.72 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes 57.8% 17.3 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes 70% 1.43 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.9% 9.17 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98.3% 12.36 shares
- Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?Yes 9.1% 32.93 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 0.7% 18.86 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 53% 18.87 shares