Polymarket Trader

0xDB63c5e8d1f053FdA404e5bb39A0fEbcF674f1a4-1776973840126

0xdb63c5e8d1f053fda404e5bb39a0febcf674f1a4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.56
Realized PnL: $70.93
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950.05
Potential profit: $950.05
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $650
Potential profit: $650
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $316.72
Potential profit: $316.72
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $234.7
Potential profit: $234.7
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.76
Potential profit: $135.76
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.74
Potential profit: $129.74
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.25
Potential profit: $129.25
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.61
Potential profit: $123.61
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $1.6
Potential payout: $94.24
Potential profit: $92.64
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $89.77
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $2.65
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $74.27
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $1.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $73.57
Potential profit: $72.87
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.73
Potential profit: $61.73
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Neither team to score first?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $36.16
Potential profit: $34.33
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $31.72
Potential profit: $30.97
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $31.15
Potential profit: $31.13
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $18.87
Potential profit: $17.86
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.27
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $12.07
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $11.9
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.02
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.47
Potential profit: $8.47
User PnL: -$0.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 17.4%
Multiplier: 5.75x
User PnL: $25.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 25.1% 3.98 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 12.8% 7.81 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 1.4% 73.57 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 3.2% 31.72 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 15% 13.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 2.1% 94.24 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 5.5% 36.16 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 24.7% 45.45 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 18.6% 142.85 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 40% 7.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 3.2% 31.15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 2.2% 45.45 shares