No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 87.8%
- Current value
- $263.25
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $36.75
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $113.25
Polymarket Trader
1kdls
@hz2049
0xdb713f5ca529f6b6b2405c25e9afb96f2f09aa29
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $300
- Realized PnL
- $325.81
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $36.75
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $263.25
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$113.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.77
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.63
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.54
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.88
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.23
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.43
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 6AM ET
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 6AM ET
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1AM ET
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.61
Down position
XRP Up or Down - October 23, 5AM ET
Ends Oct 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.19
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.25
Down position
XRP Up or Down - April 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.18
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.1
Up position
XRP Up or Down - March 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Up position
XRP Up or Down - April 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1AM ET
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.77
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 2AM ET
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.49
Up position
XRP Up or Down - December 17, 8AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3AM ET
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETDown 1% 100 shares
- Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETUp 1% 100 shares
- Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETUp 1% 45.25 shares
- Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETDown 0.8% 25.17 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETDown 1% 100 shares
- Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETDown 1% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETDown 1% 100 shares
- Dogecoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETDown 1% 100 shares
- Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETUp 1% 100 shares
- Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETDown 1% 10.1 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? AND Will France win on 2026-06-26?48.3% 2.03 shares
- Dogecoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETUp 1% 21.06 shares