Yes position
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $290
- Potential profit
- $290
- User PnL
- -$208.8
Polymarket Trader
xfm-9-8
0xdb72285d5c74be9579da95e6cce4774fee8a7902
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $54.45
- Realized PnL
- $95.38
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.3%
- Current value
- $54.45
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $125.55
- Multiplier
- 3.31x
- User PnL
- -$24.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Violet Bridgerton get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.99
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $7,000 on the final trading day of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
No position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.33
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- -$3.64
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- -$3.8
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Kevin Hassett in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$16.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?No 44% 180 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes 52% 185.58 shares
- Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 72% 290 shares
- Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?No 71% 106.84 shares
- Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?No 72% 173.16 shares
- Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?No 64% 280 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $7,000 on the final trading day of February 2026?No 78% 150 shares
- Will Violet Bridgerton get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?Yes 84% 190 shares
- Will Violet Bridgerton get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?Yes 49% 21 shares
- Will Trump meet with Kevin Hassett in February 2026?Yes 40% 160 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 47% 190 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 49% 190 shares