Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $24.18
- Potential payout
- $26.14
- Potential profit
- $1.96
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.18
Polymarket Trader
MisthavenVillage
0xdb831f019e158912f55568ee052d627d4b63de95
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $24.18
- Realized PnL
- $7.78
- Win rate
- 93.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 January 26-1?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 88% 26.14 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 93% 25.81 shares
- Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?No 98.3% 24.66 shares
- Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?No 97.3% 24.67 shares
- Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?No 98.4% 24.43 shares
- Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?No 98.2% 24.44 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 96.2% 25.1 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 95.6% 25.1 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 93% 25.53 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 94% 25.53 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.1% 25.16 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 95.4% 25.17 shares