Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.2%
- Current value
- $10.44
- Potential payout
- $45.08
- Potential profit
- $34.65
- Multiplier
- 4.32x
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Polymarket Trader
knicholson
0xdb8c69f0b34c02c33845c8093a2b4bbcd5166b85
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.66
- Realized PnL
- $5.59
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Current value
- $3.23
- Potential payout
- $4.06
- Potential profit
- $0.83
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.06
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.59
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes 97.9% 11.52 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes 95.4% 20.82 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 90.9% 28.43 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 1?Yes 99.7% 16.02 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes 98.8% 16.42 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes 98% 31.26 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 72% 4.06 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 36% 26.08 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 35% 19 shares
- Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?No 50% 28.12 shares
- Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?Yes 49% 26.8 shares