No position
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $119.14
- Potential payout
- $198.56
- Potential profit
- $79.42
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $21.84
Polymarket Trader
xfm-1-3
0xdb8df7ec0a372e74fcf331bb244ef204a37fcc4d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $119.14
- Realized PnL
- $92.25
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.8
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $70.2
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 26-1?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Meta (META) close above $620 end of February?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$13
No position
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21.6
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$50.6
No position
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No 49% 198.56 shares
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes 68% 270 shares
- Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?No 40% 230 shares
- Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?No 62% 230 shares
- Will Meta (META) close above $620 end of February?Yes 70% 260 shares
- Will Meta (META) close above $620 end of February?Yes 75% 260 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?Yes 37% 200 shares
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?No 30% 250 shares
- Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No 69% 145 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 26-1?No 99.5% 100 shares