Yes position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $11.39
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $8.61
- Multiplier
- 1.76x
- User PnL
- -$2.93
Polymarket Trader
romero.
0xdba19dae60aca68c85b3e725c19f0f797e1ed0e5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.39
- Realized PnL
- -$0.53
- Win rate
- 4.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 40.3%
- Multiplier
- 2.48x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will Jack Grealish join Everton?
Ends Sep 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the NC-14 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will voter turnout be 56-60% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
Ends Jan 20, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Y
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.30T and $1.40T on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?
Ends Sep 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Y
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 56-60% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Republican Party win the NC-14 House seat?Yes 83% 20 shares
- Will Delta Q2 passenger load factor be between 83% and 85%?Yes 45% 20 shares
- Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?No 13% 50 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the CA-05 House seat?No 13% 20 shares
- Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?No 14% 38.56 shares
- Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?No 15% 50 shares
- Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?No 16% 10.93 shares
- Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?No 16% 50 shares
- Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?No 61% 20 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 77.7% 50 shares
- Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?No 18% 50 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 20.7% 40.1 shares