Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $30.24
- Potential payout
- $163.43
- Potential profit
- $133.2
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$18.79
Polymarket Trader
Ale94
0xdba87d88abc28cf83f2ef04950801ad2b3be4127
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $81.05
- Realized PnL
- $32.25
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $10.68
- Potential payout
- $87.21
- Potential profit
- $76.53
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$4.32
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $20.72
- Potential payout
- $22.89
- Potential profit
- $2.17
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $19.41
- Potential payout
- $21.22
- Potential profit
- $1.8
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.9
- Potential profit
- $11.9
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $24.55
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.94
Yes position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 21.22 shares
- Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 90% 17.71 shares
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 69% 15.93 shares
- Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 30% 163.43 shares
- Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 4% 1,221 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No 82% 22.89 shares
- Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?No 84% 11.9 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?No 91% 10.99 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 17.2% 87.21 shares
- Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 2% 1,221 shares