Polymarket Trader

SwissMiss

0xdbade4c82fb72780a0db9a38f821d8671aba9c95

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $868.28K
Realized PnL: $3.86M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $8.31K
Potential payout: $475K
Potential profit: $466.69K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$229.19K

No position

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $466.69K
Potential payout: $475K
Potential profit: $8.31K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $229.19K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $171.28K
Potential payout: $171.88K
Potential profit: $601.59
User PnL: $53.04K

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $57.32K
Potential payout: $63.34K
Potential profit: $6.02K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $6.47K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $49.83K
Potential payout: $55.06K
Potential profit: $5.23K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $19.87K

Yes position

SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $6.7K
Potential payout: $35.29K
Potential profit: $28.58K
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$3.53K

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $27.15K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $2.85K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.85K

Yes position

Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $10.01K
Potential payout: $25.03K
Potential profit: $15.02K
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$305.25

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $22.52K
Potential payout: $23.34K
Potential profit: $816.8
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $3.97K

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $2.83K
Potential payout: $22.64K
Potential profit: $19.81K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$8.97K

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.8%
Current value: $3.22K
Potential payout: $20.44K
Potential profit: $17.22K
Multiplier: 6.35x
User PnL: -$3.66K

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $11.9K
Potential payout: $16.42K
Potential profit: $4.51K
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $2.05K

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $7.02K
Potential payout: $12.01K
Potential profit: $4.98K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$1.32K

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $7.97K
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $28
User PnL: $1.89K

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $1.24K
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $6.26K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$1.31K

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $5.36K
Potential payout: $6.49K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $2.23K

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $3.16K
Potential payout: $4.37K
Potential profit: $1.2K
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $673.35

No position

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $2.97K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $25.5
User PnL: $364.49

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $1.69K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $310
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $470

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $206.77
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $180.93

Karolina Muchova position

Grass Court Championships: Madison Keys vs Karolina Muchova

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $11.48
Potential payout: $23.2
Potential profit: $11.71
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $0.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Pirates position

Pirates vs. Reds

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $537.13K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.83K

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.25K

Akron position

Akron vs. Buffalo

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200K

Crawford position

Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.01K

T1 position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.85K

Team Falcons position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs. BetBoom Team

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.2K

Thicknesse position

UFC Fight Night: Thicknesse vs. Musasa

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.19K

Wizards position

Trail Blazers vs. Wizards

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.07K

Diamondbacks position

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145K

Utah State position

Utah State vs. Fresno State

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140K

Stars position

Stars vs. Oilers

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.36K

Over position

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 171.5

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.25K

Padres position

Brewers vs. Padres

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125K

Gabriel Bonfim position

UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.73K

Murzakanov position

Rakic vs. Murzakanov

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.46K

Perez position

UFC 324: Perez vs. Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.11K

Dern position

Dern vs. Jandiroba

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.4K

Central Michigan position

Central Michigan vs. Bowling

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.8K

Eagles position

Eagles vs. Packers

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.08K

Juan Diaz position

UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.5K

Cody Brundage position

UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, Prelims)

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.75K

Under position

Rider Broncs vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 139.5

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 0.1% 59,616.87 shares
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Magdalena Frech

Magdalena Frech 59% 1,413.64 shares
Roland Garros WTA: Tamara Korpatsch vs Xinyu Wang

Tamara Korpatsch 49% 1,693.06 shares
UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

Polyana Viana 0.1% 74.18 shares
UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

Polyana Viana 0.1% 52.4 shares
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?

Yes 69% 18.1 shares
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)

Sean Brady 60% 10 shares
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?

Yes 61% 12.5 shares
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?

Yes 67% 55 shares
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?

Yes 61% 61.56 shares
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?

Yes 61% 53.6 shares
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?

Yes 52.8% 41.31 shares