Polymarket Trader

Mringlouriousbtd

0xdbb187f11d51a1e55b17f69a710a72fc7337c6f2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $991.44
Realized PnL: $421.93
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $232.31
Potential payout: $274.92
Potential profit: $42.61
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $12.58

No position

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $206.25
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $43.75
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $9.25

Yes position

Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $195.99
Potential payout: $213.03
Potential profit: $17.04
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $21.93

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $10.88
Potential payout: $192.59
Potential profit: $181.71
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $11.64
Potential payout: $172.46
Potential profit: $160.82
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $28.73
Potential payout: $145.45
Potential profit: $116.73
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $7.33

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.58
Potential profit: $131.58
User PnL: -$5

No position

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $86.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $13.5
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $9.5

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $12.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $87.65
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $14.14
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $85.86
Multiplier: 7.07x
User PnL: $5.24

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $5.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.95
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$3.55

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $89.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $10.5
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $6.5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $13.85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $86.15
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$3.35

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.85
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$8.26

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $32.06
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $26.76
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $2.06

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $34.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $15.26
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$9.5

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$7.83

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$13.6

No position

Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $17.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $2.7
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $12.3

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $8.93
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: -$1.56

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Jakub Mensik position

Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.33

No position

Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.1

No position

Will Stephen A. Smith announce Presidential run in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.4

No position

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $25.4

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.7

No position

Will Meta settle with the FTC?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.8

No position

Will OpenAI acquire Chrome by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.5

Yes position

Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.56

No position

Xabi Alonso out as Real Madrid Manager in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.53

Up position

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down - October 15

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.34

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.82

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-03-26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.59

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Yes position

Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.71

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.4

Yes position

Will Diplo run the 5k in under 22 minutes?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.73

No position

Milei out as President of Argentina in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

Arne Slot out as Liverpool Manager in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.5

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.2

No position

Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Charles Oliveira position

UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.89

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.25

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $7.7

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 51% 58.82 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ilia Topuria 83% 5 shares
Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Spain 56% 8.93 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ilia Topuria 80% 5 shares
Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 13% 10 shares
Netanyahu out by June 30?

No 98.4% 50 shares
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

No 77% 80 shares
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 70% 100 shares
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

No 77% 60 shares
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 70% 100 shares
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 71% 50 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca

Jakub Mensik 64% 15.63 shares