Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Polymarket Trader
pollybott
0xdbc45db6ba0618e6182109854e8d19a77b4f4347
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $376.98
- Realized PnL
- $2.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $7.42
- Potential payout
- $674.8
- Potential profit
- $667.38
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$3.93
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $330.13
- Potential profit
- $329.97
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$17.77
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $300.65
- Potential profit
- $298.69
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.66
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $257.01
- Potential profit
- $256.63
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.18
No position
Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $100.11
- Potential payout
- $100.16
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $88.43
- Potential profit
- $88.39
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.61
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $8.18
- Potential payout
- $56.41
- Potential profit
- $48.23
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$19.95
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $55.24
- Potential profit
- $54.44
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$3.25
N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $44.92
- Potential payout
- $46.1
- Potential profit
- $1.18
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $5.52
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $32.38
- Potential payout
- $40.73
- Potential profit
- $8.35
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $6.36
N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $33.6
- Potential payout
- $37.75
- Potential profit
- $4.15
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.16
Y
Yes position
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $29.24
- Potential profit
- $28.54
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.44
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $24.36
- Potential payout
- $25.04
- Potential profit
- $0.68
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $24.01
- Potential payout
- $24.64
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $11.88
- Potential payout
- $23.53
- Potential profit
- $11.65
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $10.48
- Potential payout
- $19.05
- Potential profit
- $8.57
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.52
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.27
- Potential payout
- $16.92
- Potential profit
- $15.65
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $13.23
- Potential payout
- $16.44
- Potential profit
- $3.21
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $12.88
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $3.12
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Current value
- $12.68
- Potential payout
- $14.37
- Potential profit
- $1.69
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $11.38
- Potential payout
- $13.79
- Potential profit
- $2.41
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
N
No position
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13.08
- Potential payout
- $13.09
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.02
Y
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $11.06
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $1.44
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.45
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.07
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.58
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $175.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.79
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.59
No position
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $94.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.06
No position
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.16
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $78.05
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.66
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.48
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.27
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.82
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.57
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $46.82
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.39
No position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.59
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.63
No position
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes 94% 5.18 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes 85% 5.17 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes 89% 5.17 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes 78% 5.16 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes 58% 20.69 shares
- Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?No 99.8% 12.02 shares
- Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?No 99.7% 1.06 shares
- Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?Yes 8% 93.75 shares
- Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?Yes 5.9% 59.15 shares
- Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?Yes 7% 14.43 shares
- Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?Yes 3.6% 162.79 shares
- Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?Yes 9.2% 3.42 shares