Polymarket Trader

0xdBc70794865aa59F1EE79834f16278Ee2d845E40-1759406812638

0xdbc70794865aa59f1ee79834f16278ee2d845e40

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $99.83
Realized PnL: $138.03
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 8.4%
Current value: $35.97
Potential payout: $428.16
Potential profit: $392.19
Multiplier: 11.90x
User PnL: -$2.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 17.4%
Current value: $63.75
Potential payout: $365.56
Potential profit: $301.81
Multiplier: 5.73x
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $54
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $53.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $53.92
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$5.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.63
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $27.23

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 34.6%
Multiplier: 2.89x
User PnL: $21.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.53

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.02

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 65.4%
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $7.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 26.9%
Multiplier: 3.72x
User PnL: $7.24

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.65

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

Up position

XRP Up or Down - June 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 9% 70 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 17.7% 365.56 shares
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 54 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

No 95.5% 70.65 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

No 92% 70.65 shares
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 54 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

No 90% 72.79 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

No 91% 8.79 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 13% 64 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

No 86% 75.55 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

No 87% 75.55 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 1.6% 54 shares