Polymarket Trader

MarginSafety

0xdbf08158da8516f5b9535ce60ae00b702ea8ff09

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $596.04
Realized PnL: $3.64K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.1K
User PnL: -$5.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $2.01K
User PnL: -$215.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: -$81.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
User PnL: -$169.3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $621.72
Potential profit: $621.72
User PnL: -$2.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $161.51
Potential payout: $598.2
Potential profit: $436.69
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: $1.79

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $407.96
Potential profit: $407.96
User PnL: -$2.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $396.16
Potential payout: $399.96
Potential profit: $3.8
User PnL: $294.18

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $203.28
Potential profit: $203.28
User PnL: -$3.22

Yes position

Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$33

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.89
Potential profit: $128.89
User PnL: -$82.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.83
Potential profit: $108.83
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.86
Potential profit: $105.86
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 78.8%
Current value: $38.37
Potential payout: $48.72
Potential profit: $10.35
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $4.26

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.3
Potential profit: $43.3
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.51
Potential profit: $22.51
User PnL: -$2.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.11
Potential profit: $3.11
User PnL: -$0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $550.03

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $418.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $356.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $246.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.42

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.14

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.6

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 18?

Yes 70% 48.72 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?

Yes 26.7% 598.2 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?

Yes 4.4% 12.61 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?

Yes 12% 23.14 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?

Yes 14% 82.85 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?

Yes 20% 17 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?

Yes 19% 139 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?

Yes 18.6% 244.12 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?

Yes 40% 7 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?

Yes 25% 160.4 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?

Yes 28% 85.16 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?

Yes 27% 74.07 shares