Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $101.25
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $148.75
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$82.75
Polymarket Trader
asl33pawake
0xdbf65f5a59b1bd47c958bad7bfb0b6607967c0e6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $605.72
- Realized PnL
- $668.92
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $149.42
- Potential payout
- $150.4
- Potential profit
- $0.98
- User PnL
- $49.42
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $107.74
- Potential payout
- $119.05
- Potential profit
- $11.31
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $7.74
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $102.97
- Potential payout
- $119.04
- Potential profit
- $16.07
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $6.23
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $105.11
- Potential payout
- $105.26
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- User PnL
- $5.11
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.71
- Potential profit
- $68.71
- User PnL
- -$60
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$31.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.96
- Potential profit
- $49.96
- User PnL
- -$41.57
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $11.4
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $28.6
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$17.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.59
- Potential profit
- $39.59
- User PnL
- -$28.41
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$20.7
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $7.35
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $22.65
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$13.65
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.3%
- Current value
- $20.49
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $9.51
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- User PnL
- -$22.2
Yes position
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$12.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.76
- Potential profit
- $19.76
- User PnL
- -$13.44
Yes position
Will Bernie Sanders say "Big Beautiful Bill" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $13.89
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.91
- Potential profit
- $9.91
- User PnL
- -$2.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.89
- Potential profit
- $9.89
- User PnL
- -$6.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.85
- Potential profit
- $9.85
- User PnL
- -$4.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.07
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.27
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.13
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.42
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.34
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.56
Yes position
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.48
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.4
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.87
Under position
Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.87
Yes position
Will Bernie Sanders say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.71
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 16.6% 40 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 71% 30 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?No 69% 30 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?Yes 78% 50 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 59% 30 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 76% 30 shares
- Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?SpaceX 98% 91.87 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 14% 30 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 55% 181.82 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 32% 30 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 41.1% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 70% 30 shares