No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $23.47K
- Potential payout
- $23.58K
- Potential profit
- $106.09
- User PnL
- $1.58K
Polymarket Trader
ydxistheking
@EldarYadin
0xdbf73adbf83a752de9ef9390e32797df82eafbea
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $54.44K
- Realized PnL
- $43.07K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $29.48
- Potential payout
- $19.65K
- Potential profit
- $19.62K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$47.71
No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $17.62K
- Potential payout
- $18.62K
- Potential profit
- $996.17
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.13K
Yes position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $4.98K
- Potential payout
- $8.45K
- Potential profit
- $3.46K
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $1.53K
Yes position
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $52.29
- Potential payout
- $7.47K
- Potential profit
- $7.42K
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- $13.6
Yes position
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $8.23
- Potential payout
- $3.29K
- Potential profit
- $3.28K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$21.57
Yes position
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $1.94K
- Potential payout
- $2.8K
- Potential profit
- $853.61
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $489.33
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $786.6
- Potential payout
- $2.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.97K
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$152.12
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Current value
- $1.79K
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $461.09
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $699.97
No position
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $1.43K
- Potential payout
- $2.24K
- Potential profit
- $806.11
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $851.7
Yes position
Will Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $1.49K
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $395.38
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $263.58
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $172.36
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$539.69
Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $26.74
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$123.18
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- User PnL
- -$190.83
Yes position
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $931.82
- Potential profit
- $931.82
- User PnL
- -$338.31
Yes position
U.S. evacuates Jerusalem embassy by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $763.01
- Potential profit
- $763.01
- User PnL
- -$477.82
Yes position
Will Israel strike 1 country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $704.52
- Potential profit
- $704.52
- User PnL
- -$15.1
Yes position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $4.36
- Potential payout
- $670.41
- Potential profit
- $666.05
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$6.35
No position
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $355.73
- Potential payout
- $465
- Potential profit
- $109.27
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $7.38
No position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $267.07
- Potential payout
- $331.76
- Potential profit
- $64.69
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $1.66
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $294.12
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $243.58
- Potential profit
- $243.58
- User PnL
- -$138.1
Yes position
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $159.92
- Potential profit
- $159.92
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.93K
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $6.18K
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91K
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37K
Yes position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
Will Harris win Maine by 5+ points?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $897.8
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $831.79
Yes position
No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Jan 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $800.85
Yes position
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $771.84
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $754.69
No position
Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $674.61
No position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $674.6
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $661.5
Yes position
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $660.63
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $640.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 99.1% 4,000 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 34% 510.56 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 23% 6,996.82 shares
- Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 1.1% 2,162.1 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes 41% 8,343.76 shares
- Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Yes 6.8% 92.58 shares
- Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?Yes 3% 166.67 shares
- Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?No 74.9% 465 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the FL-02 House seat?No 83% 100 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 66.3% 467.59 shares
- Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes 0.7% 145.1 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the FL-02 House seat?Yes 79% 109.18 shares