Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $355.1K
- Potential profit
- $355.1K
- User PnL
- -$144.29K
Polymarket Trader
jocpolitic
0xdc03d611e5bcc9f1c87edb95edeb91671471804c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $326.8K
- Realized PnL
- $481.77K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $325.1K
- Potential payout
- $329.88K
- Potential profit
- $4.78K
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $88.48K
Yes position
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $107.65
- Potential payout
- $215.3K
- Potential profit
- $215.19K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$11.92K
Yes position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $94.68
- Potential payout
- $189.36K
- Potential profit
- $189.27K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.24K
Yes position
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $85.85
- Potential payout
- $171.71K
- Potential profit
- $171.62K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.18K
Yes position
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $85.85
- Potential payout
- $171.71K
- Potential profit
- $171.62K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.18K
Yes position
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $85.85
- Potential payout
- $171.71K
- Potential profit
- $171.62K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.18K
Yes position
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $85.85
- Potential payout
- $171.71K
- Potential profit
- $171.62K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.18K
Yes position
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $85.85
- Potential payout
- $171.71K
- Potential profit
- $171.62K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.18K
Yes position
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $85.85
- Potential payout
- $171.71K
- Potential profit
- $171.62K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.18K
Yes position
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $85.85
- Potential payout
- $171.71K
- Potential profit
- $171.62K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.18K
Yes position
Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $85.85
- Potential payout
- $171.71K
- Potential profit
- $171.62K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.18K
Yes position
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $85.85
- Potential payout
- $171.71K
- Potential profit
- $171.62K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.18K
Yes position
Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $85.85
- Potential payout
- $171.71K
- Potential profit
- $171.62K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.18K
Yes position
Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $85.85
- Potential payout
- $171.71K
- Potential profit
- $171.62K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.18K
Yes position
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $85.8
- Potential payout
- $171.59K
- Potential profit
- $171.51K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.18K
Yes position
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $85.64
- Potential payout
- $171.28K
- Potential profit
- $171.19K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.18K
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.63K
- Potential profit
- $166.63K
- User PnL
- -$30.39K
Yes position
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $80.85
- Potential payout
- $161.71K
- Potential profit
- $161.63K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.09K
Yes position
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $79.17
- Potential payout
- $158.33K
- Potential profit
- $158.25K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.43K
Yes position
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $77.75
- Potential payout
- $155.51K
- Potential profit
- $155.43K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.02K
Yes position
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $76.98
- Potential payout
- $153.95K
- Potential profit
- $153.87K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.73K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149.49K
- Potential profit
- $149.49K
- User PnL
- -$26.47K
Yes position
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $73.76
- Potential payout
- $147.52K
- Potential profit
- $147.45K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.96K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $62.43K
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.75K
Yes position
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.78K
No position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.23K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.63K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $31.95K
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.87K
No position
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.8K
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.94K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.06K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.21K
Yes position
Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.47K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9K
No position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.4K
Yes position
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.03K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.81K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.26K
No position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.24K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.51K
No position
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.11K
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.05K
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.03K
No position
Will Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.26K
Yes position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.08K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?Yes 23.8% 256.8 shares
- Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?Yes 27.6% 598.7 shares
- Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?Yes 16.8% 1,097.76 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 97.1% 3,087.96 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 97.4% 63.3 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 15% 14,096.12 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 92.7% 883.19 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 93% 22,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 17% 5,829.1 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98.3% 2,043.77 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98.3% 1,958.55 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 10.9% 4,949.62 shares