galhammerman

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $30.6
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $89.4
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$11.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $72.5
Potential payout: $116
Potential profit: $43.5
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $8.7

Yes position

Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $23.29
Potential payout: $87.89
Potential profit: $64.6
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$1.32

No position

Will the announcers say "Nutmeg” or “Meg" during the South Africa vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $46.76
Potential payout: $56
Potential profit: $9.24
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.84

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of June 22 2026?

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $33.84
Potential payout: $50.5
Potential profit: $16.67
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: -$1.47

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of June 22 2026?

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $29.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $20.5
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $10

No position

Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $7.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $42.25
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $3.75

No position

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $35
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $15
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $15.2
Potential payout: $39.49
Potential profit: $24.29
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $6.83
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $26.5
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the South Africa vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $5.4
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $24.6
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$5.7

No position

Will the announcers say "History" during the Ecuador vs Germany FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 11.6%
Current value: $3.12
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $23.88
Multiplier: 8.66x
User PnL: -$3.09

No position

Will the announcers say "Goal" 40+ times during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $2.57
Potential payout: $25.72
Potential profit: $23.15
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$10.8

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $22.71
Potential profit: $21.63
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: -$3.46

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $5.21
Potential payout: $20.02
Potential profit: $14.81
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of June 22 2026?

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $16.6
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $3.4
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.86
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$1.86

Yes position

Will Darius Acuff Jr. be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $3.6
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.4
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will Labaron Philon be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$9.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $14.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $5.9
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$2.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $14.8
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $5.2
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Skechers be the brand of boot worn by the Golden Boot winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.75
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 8.6%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.28
Multiplier: 11.64x
User PnL: -$0.68

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.22

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Hattrick” or “Hat Trick" during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 37°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 38%
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $1.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

No position

Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 93.1%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 41%
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 28%
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 24%
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,290 Week of June 22 2026?

Implied probability: 75%
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Adidas be the brand of boot worn by the Golden Boot winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 58%
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 62%
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of June 22 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 59%
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Yaxel Lendeborg be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 26?