Polymarket Trader

thugstrade

@thugstrade

0xdc0712404c0005cb2265cf1cbbe60932e9697cb3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.2K
Realized PnL: $6.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.83K
Potential profit: $47.83K
User PnL: -$318.6

Yes position

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $2.49K
Potential payout: $8.17K
Potential profit: $5.68K
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $651.87

Yes position

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $2.39K
Potential payout: $5.02K
Potential profit: $2.64K
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $456.72

Yes position

Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $323.98
Potential payout: $3.09K
Potential profit: $2.76K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $43.99

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$625.5

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$132.5

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$252

Yes position

Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$368.74

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$234

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $958.33
Potential profit: $958.33
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $916.67
Potential profit: $916.67
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $909.25
Potential profit: $909.25
User PnL: -$181.85

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $887.1
Potential profit: $887.1
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $886.81
Potential profit: $886.81
User PnL: -$186.23

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $876.27
Potential profit: $876.27
User PnL: -$131.44

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $875
Potential profit: $875
User PnL: -$140

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $875
Potential profit: $875
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $843.75
Potential profit: $843.75
User PnL: -$270

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $841.18
Potential profit: $841.18
User PnL: -$143

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $708.33
Potential profit: $708.33
User PnL: -$170

Yes position

Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $692.47
Potential profit: $692.47
User PnL: -$208

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $687.5
Potential profit: $687.5
User PnL: -$440

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $671.38
Potential profit: $671.38
User PnL: -$53.71

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $909.67

Yes position

Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $748.55

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $681.1

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $628.09

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $625.31

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $603.59

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $516.62

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $453.35

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Pacers

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238.96

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Pelicans

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.86

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.32

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Warriors

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.5

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.46

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Magic

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.43

76ers position

Wizards vs. 76ers

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.14

Yes position

Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $70.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.84

Yes position

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.49

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Kings

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 16% 875 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 18% 666.67 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 23% 500 shares
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 8% 671.38 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 16% 593.75 shares
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 21% 602 shares
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 21% 284.81 shares
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 9% 655.56 shares
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 30% 10 shares
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 30% 483.33 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 99.9% 273.18 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 58% 273.19 shares