anjorni

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.85K
Potential profit: $2.85K
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $215.78
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: -$34.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$179.74

Yes position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $42.31
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $726.92
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$57.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $740.29
Potential profit: $740.29
User PnL: -$166.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $595.24
Potential profit: $595.24
User PnL: -$125

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399
Potential profit: $399
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350.02
Potential profit: $350.02
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.98
Potential profit: $285.98
User PnL: -$75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $265.29
Potential profit: $265.29
User PnL: -$125

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $3.67
Potential payout: $244.96
Potential profit: $241.28
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$38.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196.08
Potential profit: $196.08
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.5
Potential profit: $191.5
User PnL: -$28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $95.28
Potential payout: $188.68
Potential profit: $93.4
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$4.72

Yes position

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $48.59
Potential payout: $105.63
Potential profit: $57.04
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$26.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.98
Potential profit: $60.98
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.57
Potential profit: $55.57
User PnL: -$27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.17
Potential profit: $47.17
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.3%
Current value: $9.98
Potential payout: $42.92
Potential profit: $32.94
Multiplier: 4.30x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $26.76
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $19.67
Potential payout: $21.19
Potential profit: $1.51
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 21?

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $1.32
Potential profit: $0.36
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.19
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $554.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $343.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $341.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $292.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $204.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET