Polymarket Trader

Pobo33

0xdc2f9cfb98f044c0c7ea6698a0d833cfaf92a872

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $68.22
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $9.87
Potential payout: $50.49
Potential profit: $40.62
Multiplier: 5.12x
User PnL: -$0.48

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.4%
Current value: $5.51
Potential payout: $24.63
Potential profit: $19.13
Multiplier: 4.47x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $16.19
Potential payout: $22.64
Potential profit: $6.45
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $4.19

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $9.62
Potential payout: $16.44
Potential profit: $6.82
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$2.38

No position

Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $5.12
Potential payout: $10.35
Potential profit: $5.23
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 61.1%
Current value: $4.47
Potential payout: $7.32
Potential profit: $2.85
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$0.53

No position

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $7.13
Potential payout: $7.15
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $2.12

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $5.03
Potential payout: $6.58
Potential profit: $1.55
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $5.28
Potential payout: $6.33
Potential profit: $1.04
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

No 53% 22.64 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

No 26% 10.2 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

No 73% 16.44 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 20.5% 50.49 shares
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

No 75% 7.93 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

No 99.1% 6.41 shares
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Yes 97.8% 6.42 shares
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

No 63% 7.94 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

No 49% 10.2 shares
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Yes 77.8% 6.43 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

No 77.9% 6.42 shares
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?

No 48.3% 10.35 shares