Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $38.53
- Potential payout
- $9.63K
- Potential profit
- $9.6K
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$114.78
Polymarket Trader
1235813213455
0xdc394af7800ffe029351559f714e7cbd1e378ad8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $387.5
- Realized PnL
- $9.94K
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $6.25
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.49K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$13.75
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $255.39
- Potential payout
- $395.96
- Potential profit
- $140.57
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $45.39
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.7%
- Current value
- $87.32
- Potential payout
- $304.24
- Potential profit
- $216.93
- Multiplier
- 3.48x
- User PnL
- -$10.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $644.77
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $622.58
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $607.44
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $541.99
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $516.73
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $500
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $480.94
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $462.57
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.05
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $66.17
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.21
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $34.3
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.51
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- $25.99
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.4
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.55
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $9.25
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.47
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.21
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 45% 77.78 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 32.9% 106.89 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes 0.8% 2,500.63 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 32.7% 61.43 shares
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes 1.1% 2,838.9 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 31.7% 96.79 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 55% 318.18 shares
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes 1% 1,909.13 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.2% 2,449.85 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 31.6% 3.51 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.8% 2,449.85 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5% 3,534.54 shares