Polymarket Trader

ferge

0xdc3cde3781ebc7a3f7f502e485c76c7f84fdd6c2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $55.49
Realized PnL: $386.9
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Seattle Storm position

Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $55.49
Potential payout: $299.92
Potential profit: $244.43
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $1.78

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Golden State Valkyries position

Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57

Connecticut Sun position

Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.6

Chicago Sky position

Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Toronto Tempo position

Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempo

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27

No position

Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

Washington Mystics position

Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington Mystics

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21

Seattle Storm position

Seattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.76

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.29

Dallas Wings position

Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.01

No position

Will Hamas agree to disarm by February 28?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.5

New York Liberty position

Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Heat position

Heat vs. Celtics

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.5

No position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.5

Bucks position

Raptors vs. Bucks

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $7

No position

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Indiana Fever position

Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.8

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.5

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.18

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Thunder

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.26

Connecticut Sun position

Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynx

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Los Angeles Sparks 31.3% 153 shares
Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Los Angeles Sparks 31.2% 132.84 shares
Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream

Seattle Storm 18% 272 shares
Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream

Seattle Storm 17% 27.92 shares
Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun

Connecticut Sun 26.3% 83.16 shares
Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempo

Toronto Tempo 26% 300 shares
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury

Chicago Sky 40% 300 shares
Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty

Dallas Wings 93% 100 shares
Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty

Dallas Wings 39% 200 shares
Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun

Connecticut Sun 22% 10 shares
Seattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Seattle Storm 40% 200 shares
Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynx

Connecticut Sun 15% 100 shares