No position
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $455.9
- Potential payout
- $481.92
- Potential profit
- $26.02
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $23.87
Polymarket Trader
whitebunny
0xdc45feb13c29db7c1117cdd543a1a31fe92eac7a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $865.03
- Realized PnL
- $9.61
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $7.16
- Potential payout
- $286.28
- Potential profit
- $279.12
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.1%
- Current value
- $210.73
- Potential payout
- $260
- Potential profit
- $49.27
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$3.77
Yes position
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.4%
- Current value
- $39.4
- Potential payout
- $184.12
- Potential profit
- $144.72
- Multiplier
- 4.67x
- User PnL
- -$13.81
Yes position
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $4.81
- Potential payout
- $171.87
- Potential profit
- $167.05
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.8%
- Current value
- $22.13
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $127.88
- Multiplier
- 6.78x
- User PnL
- $9.67
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $13.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $86.25
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$3.65
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $3.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $96.55
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $4.32
- Potential payout
- $97
- Potential profit
- $92.68
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Current value
- $8.94
- Potential payout
- $89
- Potential profit
- $80.06
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $4.08
- Potential payout
- $71
- Potential profit
- $66.92
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $50.46
- Potential payout
- $61.54
- Potential profit
- $11.08
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $10.46
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $39.91
- Potential payout
- $56.6
- Potential profit
- $16.7
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $9.91
Yes position
Will Hong Kong have 240mm or more of precipitation in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.48
- Potential profit
- $36.48
- User PnL
- -$18.88
Yes position
Will Hong Kong have between 230-240mm of precipitation in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.69
Yes position
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes 32% 36.33 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 82.5% 200 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 82.5% 60 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.5% 71 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.5% 100 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.2% 97 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.3% 89 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.4% 100 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.3% 150 shares
- Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Yes 2.4% 86.28 shares
- Will Hong Kong have between 230-240mm of precipitation in May?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Will Hong Kong have 240mm or more of precipitation in May?Yes 34% 8.76 shares