No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $54.51K
- Potential payout
- $55K
- Potential profit
- $495
- User PnL
- $1.85K
Polymarket Trader
kevtp
0xdc4b06981e74fe11585438eb40f10bd79f43dbca
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $226.97K
- Realized PnL
- $48.67K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $49.88K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $16.54K
- Potential payout
- $21.07K
- Potential profit
- $4.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $511.95
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $17.94K
- Potential payout
- $18K
- Potential profit
- $63
- User PnL
- $312.28
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $17.76K
- Potential payout
- $17.85K
- Potential profit
- $89.27
- User PnL
- $281.01
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $16.89K
- Potential payout
- $17K
- Potential profit
- $110.5
- User PnL
- $98.86
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $13.09K
- Potential payout
- $14K
- Potential profit
- $910.01
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $967.31
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $7.85K
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $148
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $110.02
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $6.86K
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $143.49
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $498.62
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $4.58K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $425
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $149.18
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $4.89K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $112.5
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $71.5
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $4.97K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $27.5
- User PnL
- $136.97
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.72K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $285
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $158.42
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- $275.72
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $1.91K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $94
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $26
No position
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $367.53
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $170.63
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $895.04
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $105
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $95.02
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $575
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $425
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$85
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $991.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $476.66
- Potential payout
- $500.43
- Potential profit
- $23.77
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $50.86
No position
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$258
Y
Yes position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $151.32
- Potential payout
- $299.64
- Potential profit
- $148.32
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $49.94
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $220.81
- Potential payout
- $221.7
- Potential profit
- $0.89
- User PnL
- $15.39
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $173.01
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $27
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $28.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.24K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82K
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $2.79K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36K
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27K
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $1.58K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $969.84
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $954.03
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $882.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No 93% 157 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 99.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 83.6% 200 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No 92% 2,000 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 98.4% 500 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 98.4% 3,500 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No 96% 4,000 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?No 98.6% 7,000 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?No 98.4% 1,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.7% 100 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 99% 7,000 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?No 98% 3,000 shares