No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $9.9
- Potential payout
- $10.12
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Polymarket Trader
MP1261
0xdc4bcfa627afa3aa26037cf135364eef1f51b8af
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.85
- Realized PnL
- $13.76
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.38
- Potential profit
- $7.38
- User PnL
- -$6.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $6.9
- Potential payout
- $7.16
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $4.92
- Potential payout
- $5.21
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $2.05
- Potential payout
- $2.15
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $2.13
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $2.07
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 97°F or below on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C or below on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C or below on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 14?No 98.8% 10.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 13?No 96% 5.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 13?No 97.8% 7.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 13?No 93% 2.15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on July 13?No 99.8% 7.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C or below on July 13?No 99.9% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 13?Yes 96% 2.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 13?No 99.9% 17.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on July 13?No 96.9% 7.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 12?No 97.7% 7.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 11?No 99.9% 5.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?No 2.3% 6.93 shares