No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10M
- Potential profit
- $10M
- User PnL
- -$10K
Polymarket Trader
third-eye
0xdc4f08727c65afc4731b75cf1ed265666b7b4652
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $703.41K
- Realized PnL
- $185.15K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $597.03K
- Potential payout
- $597.63K
- Potential profit
- $597.63
- User PnL
- $5.6K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $41.17K
- Potential payout
- $45K
- Potential profit
- $3.82K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $7.3K
Yes position
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $31.38K
- Potential payout
- $39.97K
- Potential profit
- $8.59K
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$250.56
Yes position
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $14.3K
- Potential payout
- $15.42K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $932.33
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $414.64
- Potential payout
- $5.53K
- Potential profit
- $5.11K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$97.31
Yes position
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $4.42K
- Potential payout
- $4.8K
- Potential profit
- $384.17
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $56.51
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $3.96K
- Potential payout
- $4.02K
- Potential profit
- $52.2
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $132.23
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $546
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.45K
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$73
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $553.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.45K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $22
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $2.98K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $24
- User PnL
- $193
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $335
- Potential payout
- $2.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $130.76
Yes position
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $1.53K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $470
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $20.01
Yes position
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $86.8
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.91K
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- -$44.19
Kyle Daukaus position
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- User PnL
- -$500.06
Yes position
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.2%
- Current value
- $133.43
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $1.72K
- Multiplier
- 13.89x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $1.67K
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $65.08
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $28.35
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $1.34K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $157.5
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $32.2
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $172.5
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- User PnL
- -$1.18K
Yes position
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $35.52
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$6.27
Yes position
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $32.01
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $968.25
- Multiplier
- 31.25x
- User PnL
- -$8.45
Yes position
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $32.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $967.5
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$8.5
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $128.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $871.5
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- $10.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.21K
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.83K
No position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.47K
Yes position
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.63K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.81K
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.74K
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.79K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.76K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.28K
No position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05K
No position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62K
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.57K
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42K
Yes position
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16K
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64K
Carlos Ulberg position
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5K
Vicente Luque position
UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42K
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27K
Lance Gibson Jr. position
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19K
No position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01K
Knicks position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
No position
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Gregory Rodrigues position
UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Yes 96.3% 5 shares
- Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 92% 215.2 shares
- Will Wyndham Clark lead the 2026 U.S. Open following the first round?Yes 92.2% 30 shares
- Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes 11% 132.03 shares
- Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes 1.2% 502.81 shares
- Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes 1.4% 228 shares
- Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes 2.6% 53.82 shares
- Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes 3.9% 10 shares
- Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes 12% 100 shares
- Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 92% 937.7 shares
- Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 88% 255 shares
- Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 88% 250 shares