No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $1.69K
- Potential payout
- $2.09K
- Potential profit
- $408.5
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $52.37
Polymarket Trader
Wordsorth
@barraza234
0xdc5181f6e3bb315cf66e725cf6785a4e742f6566
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.79K
- Realized PnL
- $144.19
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $101.66
- Potential payout
- $105.51
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.71
- Potential profit
- $28.71
- User PnL
- -$23
Yes position
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.4
- Potential profit
- $22.4
- User PnL
- -$16.8
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.31
- Potential profit
- $20.31
- User PnL
- -$13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.29
No position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.69
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.69
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.27
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.44
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.72
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.79
Yes position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.56
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03
No position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48
Yes position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
70k position
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Yes position
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No 96.7% 105.51 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No 78% 2,094.87 shares
- Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.1% 1,615.92 shares
- Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.2% 1,615.93 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 94.2% 17.62 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No 93% 16.45 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?No 97.6% 33.81 shares
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 98.4% 1,682.69 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 99.9% 1,664.95 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?No 80.1% 28.71 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No 87% 25.29 shares
- Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?Yes 75% 22.4 shares