No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $39.06K
- Potential payout
- $41.66K
- Potential profit
- $2.6K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.53K
Polymarket Trader
4rfvpm101qaz
0xdc62ee4f66555520c58230d6ae8a9d10a5bf1eb3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $39.35K
- Realized PnL
- $1.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$93
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$98
No position
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$91
No position
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $98.47
- Potential payout
- $99.62
- Potential profit
- $1.15
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $98.08
- Potential payout
- $99.12
- Potential profit
- $1.04
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $29.4
- Potential payout
- $32.49
- Potential profit
- $3.09
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will Apyx launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $19.9
- Potential payout
- $21.06
- Potential profit
- $1.16
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $20.9
- Potential payout
- $20.94
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $3.88
- Potential payout
- $4.05
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $3.81
- Potential payout
- $3.84
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.7
- Potential payout
- $3.7
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $3.24
- Potential payout
- $3.44
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $3.13
- Potential payout
- $3.15
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $2.05
- Potential payout
- $2.06
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.86
- Potential payout
- $1.87
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $1.59
- Potential payout
- $1.6
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.49
- Potential payout
- $1.49
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $1.22
- Potential payout
- $1.23
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $1.09
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $904.27
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.45
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.28
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.57
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.97
No position
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.53
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.73
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $23.16
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.16
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $21.83
No position
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.52
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.48
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.87
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.19
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.09
No position
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.95
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.59
No position
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.21
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.13
No position
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.91
No position
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.8
No position
Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.39
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.96
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $15.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.4% 100 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.4% 100 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.4% 100 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.5% 4,946.14 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.2% 837.1 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.1% 100 shares
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No 96.6% 5.85 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.1% 3,612.45 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93% 176.04 shares
- Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No 97.2% 20.1 shares
- Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No 97.2% 20.1 shares
- Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?No 98.1% 23.36 shares