Polymarket Trader

needavilla

0xdc6cbf7fb32afc81932a401e2310928e6b4c04a3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $27.99
Realized PnL: $44.43
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.51
Potential profit: $110.51
User PnL: -$24.96

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $61.72
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.75
Potential profit: $45.75
User PnL: -$18.3

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.88
Potential profit: $25.88
User PnL: -$3.56

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $4.73
Potential payout: $10.06
Potential profit: $5.33
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $0.73

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $2.09
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $7
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.86
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $8.23
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.8%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $8.38
Potential profit: $5.38
Multiplier: 2.80x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $7.52
Potential profit: $6.58
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $6.49
Potential profit: $1.53
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $2.07
Potential payout: $6.1
Potential profit: $4.02
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$0.43

No position

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.71
Potential profit: $5.71
User PnL: -$2

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $3.03
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $2.53
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.66
Potential profit: $3.66
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.39
Potential profit: $3.39
User PnL: -$1.9

No position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $2.44
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $0.79
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $1.44

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $1.71
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$0.43

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $2.03
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.79

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.36

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.81

No position

Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.23

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.62

AG.AL position

League of Legends: T1 vs. AG.AL

Ends Jul 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.36

No position

Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.18

No position

U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Will Man City win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Israel military action against Iran in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 35.8% 8.38 shares
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?

No 26% 4.34 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Yes 39% 2.56 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Yes 40% 2.5 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Yes 40% 5 shares
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?

No 46% 4.35 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Yes 17% 8 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

No 77% 6.49 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

No 54% 5.56 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

No 98.7% 2.03 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Yes 25% 8 shares
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 54% 2.78 shares