No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $1.93K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $73
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $7
Polymarket Trader
Obsessd
0xdc707e8c5299f998f026b98c558a9cca6a7e7db5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.89K
- Realized PnL
- $2.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.83K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $170
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.87K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $130
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $1.49K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $510
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $769.2
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $30.8
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$2.16
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$365
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$439.69
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$455
No position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$80
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $249.99
- Potential profit
- $249.99
- User PnL
- -$130.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $474.08
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.26
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.27
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.18
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.14
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.75
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.38
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.9
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $73.71
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $70.79
No position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $62.43
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $46.2
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $45.18
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.5
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.53
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.5
No position
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.5
Royal Challengers Bengaluru position
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.95
Yes position
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.5
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $22.19
Partizan Esport position
Counter-Strike: Partizan Esport vs eSuba (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.95
Yes position
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No 96.4% 800 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No 96% 2,000 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 95% 2,000 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No 92% 2,000 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No 77% 2,000 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes 97.7% 375.35 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No 76% 1,000 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes 97.8% 1,123.37 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 94% 2,500 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes 97% 1,136.26 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No 93% 2,500 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No 73% 1,000 shares