No position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $79.88
- Potential payout
- $80.81
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Polymarket Trader
63oki62
0xdc71d849d42b94f85bc1b07a24ee9fcd834530c2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $92.77
- Realized PnL
- $8.61
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.6
- Potential profit
- $8.6
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $6.85
- Potential payout
- $7.12
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
French election called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $6.04
- Potential payout
- $6.05
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Thunder position
Heat vs. Thunder
Ends Feb 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
No position
Will "Smurfs" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60–69?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Up position
Dogecoin Up or Down in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Trump-Putin-Xi meeting before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Ukraine strike on Moscow before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Harris gets more Republican voters than Biden?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Iran strike on US military before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Another Israeli military action against Iran before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 37-38°F on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Snowflake say "Retention" during earnings call?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Trump grope video released before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Alaska position
Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Netanyahu out by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Trump admit 'Operation Warp Speed' was his fault?
Ends Aug 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Qualcomm acquire Intel?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Maria do Rosário win the 2024 Porto Alegre mayoral election?
Ends Oct 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Van Epps win TN-07 by 15–20%?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Joe Biden endorse Donald Trump?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?No 98.3% 7.12 shares
- French election called by June 30, 2026?No 99.2% 6.05 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?No 99.8% 5.01 shares
- Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes 90.8% 7.71 shares
- Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No 99.6% 6.02 shares
- Will Snowflake say "Retention" during earnings call?Yes 97.5% 6.15 shares
- Will Van Epps win TN-07 by 15–20%?No 98.9% 6.07 shares
- DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) Up or Down After Earnings?Up 99.9% 6.01 shares
- Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes 98.3% 7.12 shares
- Will the US add between 100k and 125k jobs in September?No 99.7% 8.02 shares
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.7% 54,108.21 shares
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.8% 54,108.22 shares