Polymarket Trader

Ternary

0xdcabd65b160955ca3979ce2be2e8476cb3594f1f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $398.02
Realized PnL: $246.13
Win rate: 90.9%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $398.02
Potential payout: $6.12K
Potential profit: $5.73K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$839.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $433.34

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.58

No position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.43

Yes position

Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $194.9

No position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.4

Yes position

Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.54

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.92

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

No position

OpenAI browser by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.01

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Yes 20.2% 6,123.37 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Yes 99.9% 1,239.11 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Yes 80% 1,239.11 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Yes 45% 787.89 shares
Maduro out in 2025?

Yes 21.8% 4,581.11 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition

Yes 82% 220 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 83% 120.48 shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?

No 83% 600 shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?

No 82% 1,328.66 shares
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?

Yes 54.4% 551.31 shares
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

No 73.7% 203.4 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 83% 120.48 shares