Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $252.87
- Potential profit
- $252.87
- User PnL
- -$60
Polymarket Trader
JoseArcadioBuendia
0xdcaf7deddb957611eda2a7c77b477e2c350464f5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $135.61
- Realized PnL
- $599.18
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $242.83
- Potential profit
- $242.83
- User PnL
- -$31
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $212.77
- Potential profit
- $212.77
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $176.47
- Potential profit
- $176.47
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150.79
- Potential profit
- $150.79
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134.88
- Potential profit
- $134.88
- User PnL
- -$20
Japan position
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.14
- Potential profit
- $107.14
- User PnL
- -$30
Australia position
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $23.04
- Potential payout
- $53.57
- Potential profit
- $30.54
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$6.96
Yes position
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $9.76
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $37.86
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.9%
- Current value
- $29.98
- Potential payout
- $46.23
- Potential profit
- $16.25
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $23.75
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $17.92
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $3.75
Yes position
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $9.8
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $30.2
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.1
- Potential profit
- $38.1
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $9.81
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $27.22
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $9.81
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $27.22
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.71
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $9.82
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $24.66
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $9.84
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $22.42
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.1
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.53
Yes position
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.11
Yes position
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.33
Yes position
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.56
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.11
Yes position
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.41
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.6
No position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.49
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.46
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.81
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?
Ends Jun 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.57
Gauff position
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Gauff
Ends Jun 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.39
Yes position
Will 'Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning' gross between $65-70m opening weekend?
Ends May 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.92
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.02
No position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
No position
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 French Open?
Ends Jun 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?
Ends May 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes 25% 40 shares
- Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?Yes 32% 31.25 shares
- Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes 27% 37.04 shares
- Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?Yes 21% 47.62 shares
- Australia vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceAustralia 48% 83.33 shares
- Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?Yes 18% 55.56 shares
- Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?Yes 21% 95.24 shares
- Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?No 48% 41.67 shares
- Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes 29% 34.48 shares
- Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?Yes 31% 32.26 shares
- Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?Yes 27% 37.04 shares
- Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?Yes 13% 76.92 shares