Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $183.48
- Potential payout
- $205
- Potential profit
- $21.53
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $60.48
Polymarket Trader
JackTaylor9624
0xdcb1002fd48c5882d4fd3b9ddcccc7667af3c4e8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $266.29
- Realized PnL
- $2.83K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Sri Lanka position
ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $73.01
- Potential payout
- $149
- Potential profit
- $75.99
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- -$44.7
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.74
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $35.26
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$21.94
Yes position
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
Ends Jan 3, 2027- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $1.68
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $2.32
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $3.63
- Potential payout
- $3.7
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $1.9
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.6
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.87
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $0.77
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.3%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 2.21x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will AD Pasto win on 2026-04-11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $341.25
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.71
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $211.9
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 20-39 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.41
Yes position
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $165.03
Yes position
Will the US strike Syria next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.32
Yes position
Will Bayer Leverkusen advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.28
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 19, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.89
No position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.94
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $114.41
Yes position
Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be between 75% and 80%?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $99.2
Yes position
Will Trump say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ timesduring meeting with Netanyahu?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $98.85
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.54
Over position
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.28
Millonarios FC position
Spread: Millonarios FC (-1.5)
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.03
Yes position
Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 50.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $75.51
No position
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 46%
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $75.48
No position
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.2
No position
Will Daylight launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $74.88
Yes position
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.06
Yes position
Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-02-05?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70.4
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 6 be between 2,100,000 and 2,300,000?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.8
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 11, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.6
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?No 13% 821 shares
- Virginia Cavaliers vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (W)Wake Forest Demon Deacons 89.6% 675 shares
- Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 69% 653 shares
- Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 67% 653 shares
- Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?No 88% 683 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?No 68% 199 shares
- Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?No 70% 683 shares
- ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri LankaSri Lanka 79% 149 shares
- Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?No 40% 831 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?No 59% 99 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?No 65% 99 shares
- Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?No 13% 493 shares