No position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $36.86
- Potential payout
- $37.63
- Potential profit
- $0.77
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.86
Polymarket Trader
Duskendale
0xdccd04842e11fbd0c8196abf4c9cd1b9074aa1c4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $36.86
- Realized PnL
- $19.03
- Win rate
- 92.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.76
Yes position
Will PepsiCo Inc (PEP) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 8?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No 93% 37.63 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 83% 39.76 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 98.3% 33.7 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 97.9% 33.71 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 92.9% 37.43 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 93.5% 37.43 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 91% 37.77 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 90% 37.78 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 94.3% 36.55 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 93% 36.56 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 16?Yes 70% 28.7 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 99.9% 9.01 shares