Yes position
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $656
- Potential profit
- $656
- User PnL
- -$5.99
Polymarket Trader
Ben.Graham
0xdcd405277225b68ec927b350365186d3be10a7b8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $169.59
- Realized PnL
- $12.25
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $59.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $340.2
- Multiplier
- 6.69x
- User PnL
- $56.6
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $16.07
- Potential payout
- $315.8
- Potential profit
- $299.73
- Multiplier
- 19.65x
- User PnL
- $13.55
Yes position
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.8%
- Current value
- $10.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $89.25
- Multiplier
- 9.30x
- User PnL
- $7.85
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84
- Potential profit
- $84
- User PnL
- -$5.04
No position
US defaults on debt by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $78.44
- Potential payout
- $81.32
- Potential profit
- $2.89
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$2.06
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $4.53
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.9%
- Multiplier
- 11.30x
- User PnL
- $12.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes 2.1% 84.2 shares
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes 0.8% 500 shares
- Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?Yes 2.9% 100 shares
- Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 0.2% 500 shares
- Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?Yes 33.9% 10 shares
- Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?Yes 34.9% 40 shares
- US defaults on debt by 2027?No 99% 71.2 shares
- US defaults on debt by 2027?No 98.8% 10.12 shares
- Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?Yes 10.2% 50 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 5 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?No 6% 84 shares