No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $15.88
- Potential payout
- $36.51
- Potential profit
- $20.63
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Polymarket Trader
0xdce7...8bcf
0xdce754f11c3d3c84d4c6be7e00f9be390b218bcf
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $97.16
- Realized PnL
- $4.71
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $6.14
- Potential payout
- $12.54
- Potential profit
- $6.39
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $9.18
- Potential payout
- $9.81
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $8.25
- Potential payout
- $9.43
- Potential profit
- $1.18
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.4%
- Current value
- $4.8
- Potential payout
- $7.95
- Potential profit
- $3.15
- Multiplier
- 1.66x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $6.13
- Potential payout
- $6.93
- Potential profit
- $0.8
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $5.13
- Potential payout
- $6.21
- Potential profit
- $1.09
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $5.59
- Potential payout
- $5.91
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $5.7
- Potential profit
- $0.77
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $4.94
- Potential payout
- $5.34
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.4%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $5.3
- Potential profit
- $0.61
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
Ends Jun 6, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.7%
- Current value
- $4.38
- Potential payout
- $5.11
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.06
- Potential payout
- $5.06
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $3.83
- Potential payout
- $4.09
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Jorge Bom Jesus win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $3.8
- Potential payout
- $3.81
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $2.9
- Potential payout
- $2.93
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.54
- Potential payout
- $1.64
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Yes position
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Arya Azma win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jorge Bom Jesus win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?No 99.7% 0.02 shares
- Will Jorge Bom Jesus win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?No 99.7% 0.04 shares
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No 86% 0.01 shares
- Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No 93% 0.24 shares
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No 86% 0.58 shares
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No 86% 0.07 shares
- Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No 93% 1.13 shares
- Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No 93% 0.4 shares
- Will Jorge Bom Jesus win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?No 99.4% 0.02 shares
- Will Jorge Bom Jesus win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?No 99.4% 1.11 shares
- Will Jorge Bom Jesus win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?No 98% 5 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 86% 1.58 shares