Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $3.04
- Potential payout
- $3.52
- Potential profit
- $0.48
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.95
Polymarket Trader
0xdcee...cb61
0xdcee308f65e6bdd4f15292f023011040a14acb61
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $3.04
- Realized PnL
- $37.48
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.47
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.87
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89
Yes position
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
No position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
Yes position
Will the Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win 140 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 36% 4.17 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 37% 2.7 shares
- Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?Yes 57% 1.92 shares
- Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?No 56% 1.95 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?Yes 21% 5.19 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Yes 23% 4.74 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Yes 21.1% 5.17 shares
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes 31% 3.52 shares
- Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?No 34% 3.21 shares
- Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?No 75% 1.46 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?No 66% 1.66 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?Yes 61% 1.79 shares