Polymarket Trader

rspa

0xdceecdb83fcbcc37d381f90ad0c7516824e3bda5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.48K
Realized PnL: $14.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.06K
Potential profit: $41.06K
User PnL: -$128.68

Yes position

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.43K
Potential profit: $11.43K
User PnL: -$1.63K

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $159.62
Potential payout: $11.4K
Potential profit: $11.24K
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$207.56

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $148.28
Potential payout: $6.93K
Potential profit: $6.78K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $11.75

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $57.48
Potential payout: $4.26K
Potential profit: $4.2K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $13.47

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $305.64
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.3K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $101.62

Yes position

Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3.44
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $2.29K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$8.03

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $1.52K
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $217.36
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $317.32

Yes position

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $48.81
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.45K
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $221.4
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $978.6
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: -$189.6

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$83.74

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $941.1
Potential profit: $940.63
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$65.41

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $440.17
Potential payout: $807.65
Potential profit: $367.48
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$92.33

Yes position

Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $467.58
Potential payout: $644.94
Potential profit: $177.36
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $42.64

Yes position

Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $601.23
Potential profit: $601.23
User PnL: -$10.02

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $601.23
Potential profit: $599.72
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$8.52

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $3.91
Potential payout: $601.23
Potential profit: $597.32
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$6.11

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $601.23
Potential profit: $600.92
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.72

Yes position

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $601.23
Potential profit: $600.92
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.72

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $77.26
Potential payout: $601.23
Potential profit: $523.97
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $67.24

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $601.23
Potential profit: $600.92
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.72

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2.71
Potential payout: $601.23
Potential profit: $598.52
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$7.31

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $9.92
Potential payout: $601.23
Potential profit: $591.31
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $8.72
Potential payout: $601.23
Potential profit: $592.51
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$1.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $990.35

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $976.89

Yes position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $975.23

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $671.84

No position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $621.36

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $583.79

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $544.96

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $520.44

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 24.4%
Multiplier: 4.11x
User PnL: $503.97

No position

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $458.74

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $422.69

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $405.62

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $401.37

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $375.36

Yes position

Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $327.61

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in August?

Ends Sep 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325.99

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $317.88

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $314.22

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 81.6%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $290.18

Yes position

Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $279.11

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $263.18

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2025-11-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?

Yes 39% 23.5 shares
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?

Yes 37.5% 105.5 shares
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?

No 99.9% 819.77 shares
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?

Yes 83.5% 50 shares
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?

Yes 83.3% 60 shares
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?

Yes 82.8% 27.28 shares
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?

Yes 81.1% 140.12 shares
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?

Yes 83.9% 140 shares
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?

No 16.1% 8.39 shares
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?

No 16.1% 200 shares
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?

No 16.1% 170.86 shares
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?

No 16.1% 170.86 shares