0xDcf88C077E006D6Bb6fb2184EAC6532DD9F81eCF-1779333648289

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.25
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $4.75
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $161.92
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$2.92

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.75
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $5.21
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $78.12
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: $0.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.14
Potential profit: $52.14
User PnL: -$43.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.78
Potential profit: $48.78
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 29-July 5?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $38.71
Potential profit: $38.01
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$10.92

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $2.79
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $35.67
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: -$2.06

No position

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.4%
Current value: $19.4
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $19.06
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $7.48
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $25.85
Multiplier: 4.45x
User PnL: -$2.12

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $14.86
Potential payout: $28.3
Potential profit: $13.44
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 29-July 5?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.63
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$4.57

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $14.86
Potential payout: $27.27
Potential profit: $12.41
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 34.2%
Current value: $8.5
Potential payout: $24.88
Potential profit: $16.38
Multiplier: 2.93x
User PnL: $3.64

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $19.75
Potential payout: $24.84
Potential profit: $5.09
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 3?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $18.26
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$4.77

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $15.57
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $7.16
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $12.55
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $9.67
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $4.13
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $15.1
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$0.67

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 29-July 5?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $12.61
Potential payout: $12.63
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $5.92
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $5.04
Potential payout: $7.81
Potential profit: $2.77
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $4.86
Potential payout: $5.75
Potential profit: $0.89
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $309.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.85

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.38

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.87

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.16

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.15

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.62

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.17

Royal Challengers Bengaluru position

Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

No position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.63

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.09

Portugal position

Spread: Portugal (-2.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.42

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET